California Governor Gavin Newsom addresses members of the media after meeting with students from Melrose Leadership Academy during a school visit Wednesday, September 15, 2021 in Oakland, California.
Stephen Lam | Chronicle of San Francisco | Hearst Diary via Getty Images
California Governor Gavin Newsom called his decisive victory in this week’s recall election a victory for vaccines and science. The data backs it up.
A CNBC analysis of county-level results – which are preliminary as postal ballots continue to be counted – found a strong link between support for Newsom and counties with high COVID vaccination rates on election day , September 14.
In countries with high COVID vaccination rates, people voted overwhelmingly to keep him in office. Conversely, residents of counties with low vaccination rates voted for the impeachment of the governor.
“Tonight isn’t the only ‘no’ voiced,” Newsom thanked Tuesday night in Sacramento. I want to focus on the ‘yes’ as a state. “We said ‘yes’ to science, we said ‘yes’ to vaccines, we said ‘yes’ to ending this pandemic.”
The analysis also showed that residents of many small counties in California were less likely to support Newsom and get vaccinated.
Of the 23 counties with fewer than 100,000 inhabitants, 17, or nearly three quarters, voted “yes” on the recall. Meanwhile, only 10 of 35 counties with more than 100,000 residents voted in favor of the recall.
These small counties were also likely to have lower vaccination rates. Eighteen of 23 reported that less than 50% of residents were fully immunized on election day, according to a CNBC analysis of data from the California Department of Public Health.
For example, Lassen County has an estimated population of around 30,600 in 2019 and the current vaccination rate is around 22%. About 84% of its voters voted “yes” on the recall.
Likewise, Modoc County has an estimated population of 8,800 in 2019 and the current vaccination rate is 36.3%. Twenty-eight percent of his voters also supported the recall.
On the other end of the spectrum, Los Angeles County has an estimated population of over 10 million in 2019 and a vaccination rate of 59.5%. His voters strongly supported Newsom, with 70.8% of the vote being recalled with a “no”.
According to the latest rural data from the Census Bureau from 2010, most counties classified as rural or predominantly rural were less likely to support Newsom and be vaccinated. The Census Bureau defines rural as any population, dwelling or area. An urban area or an area of 50,000 inhabitants or more.
Ten of the 11 counties classified as rural or primarily rural in California voted “yes” when recalled. According to California Secretary of State data, it includes Amador County, Calaveras County, Lassen County, Mariposa County, Modoc County, Plumas County, Sierra County, Sierra County, of Siskiyou, Tehama County and Trinity County.
On polling day, all 10 of those counties had vaccination rates below 50%, according to a CNBC analysis.
President Joe Biden, who campaigned with Newsom on the eve of election day, echoed the governor’s sentiment about his victory.
“This vote is a resounding victory for the approach he and I share to defeat the pandemic: strict vaccine requirements, strong measures to reopen schools safely, and solid plans to distribute real medicine – not bogus treatments – to help those who are sick, ”Biden said in a statement Wednesday.
While preliminary election results show a majority of Californians support the state’s pandemic measures, Newsom’s response to COVID initially jeopardized his political fortunes.
A statewide mask warrant, stay-at-home order and governor’s masked appearance at an upscale Napa Valley restaurant at the height of rising Covid cases helped the petition recall to gain ground at the end of last year, attracting nearly 1.5 million people. Californians have been asked to sign it. .
However, in recent months, Newsom’s handling of the pandemic, including the rollout of vaccines and warrants, has become one of its strengths in the recall election.
The governor introduced COVID vaccine requirements for state employees and health workers in late July, which came into effect on August 5. It also implemented similar vaccine requirements for teachers and other school staff, the first step in the country. Effective August 12.
California Governor Gavin Newsom attends a press conference to launch a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccination supersite in San Diego, California on February 8, 2021.
Sandy Huffker | swimming pool | via Reuters
In the weeks leading up to the election, Newsom’s campaign called on Conservative talk show host Larry Elder, the Republican frontrunner, to pledge to quash those vaccine warrants and other pandemic measures.
The governor’s vigorous campaign has also touted the state’s high vaccination rates in recent months. As of Friday, 59.23% of the state’s population had been fully vaccinated, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
A September poll released ahead of the recall election showed more than 3 in 4 Californians believe the state government is doing a “great or good job” in distributing COVID vaccines. And nearly 6 in 10 people said they approved of Newsom’s response to the pandemic, according to a survey by the Public Policy Institute of California.
“As a small group of greedy and venereal Republican Party scammers try to gain attention by undermining faith in science and public health, the vast majority of Americans have not been fooled – they understand that vaccination saves lives. “And they support the common sense mandate of vaccines,” Los Angeles-based Democratic adviser Michael Sonff said in an email.